Every body talks about the weather．It's the most popular topic of conversation（谈话）．For example，people may say to each other"Isn't it a nice day？""Do you think it is going to rain？？"or"I think it is going to snow．"（1） 　 　

Many people think they can tell what the weather is going to be like．（2） 　 　．One man may say，"Do you see how cloudy it is in the east？It's going to rain tomorrow．"But anther man may say，"Yes，it's cloudy in the east，so we are going to have a fine day tomorrow．"

（3） 　 　When a farmer needs water，he looks for something to tell him it is going to rain，he won't believe other things．When people have a picnic，but it begins to rain，they will be so sure about something that shows the weather is going to be fine very quickly（4） 　 　

Almost everyone listens to what the weatherman says．But he does not tell us what we want．and sometimes he makes a mistake．（5） 　 　

A．People often hope for the weather they want．

B．However，he still probably comes closer to being right than most people．

C．But they don't always agree with each other．

D．They won't believe that will finish their lunch in the rain．

E．All these are the common ways to start a conversation．